Summer Outlook
As we approach the peak of summer, inventory remains tight which we expect will continue until rates drop. Due to low inventory, the market remains competitive with many listings going to best and final bidding wars. Buyers may need to be prepared to waive their appraisal and mortgage contingency as well as use local lenders and attorneys to win bidding wars. Rentals continue to move quickly and prices remain high, with full service buildings doing very well in the current market. We continue to see turnkey listings move quickly, as buyers are less interested in properties that require work.
First Time Buyers
Many buyers that own a home already are not as motivated if there is not an immediate need to move (and sellers in the same situation are holding onto their existing real estate), yet we continue to see a lot of first time buyers taking advantage of ARM mortgage programs or buying down the rate with point(s) with the goal of refinancing when rates drop. These buyers believe they are getting their foot in the door now before rates drop. Once rates drop, more buyers will enter the market and prices will become even more competitive.
Inventory
The low inventory has affected the volume of transactions this year, however prices remain high. Looking at year over year (YoY) numbers in the first half of 2023, 741 condos have sold in Hoboken, Jersey City Heights and Downtown Jersey city, down 38% from 1197 in the first half of 2022. For single family homes in the same neighborhoods, 51 have sold in 2023, down 47% from the 97 homes sold during same period last year.